04/04/2026
16:00
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
59%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
38%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
24%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
83.0%
Under
17.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
62.0%
Under
38.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
38.0%
Under
62.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
28.0%
Under
72.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
83.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
52.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
15.2
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
87.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
73.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
62.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
3.9
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
3.7
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Atlético Madrid
1
Juan Agustín Musso
Goalkeeper
6
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
Midfielder
7
Antoine Griezmann
Forward
10
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
Forward
11
Thiago Almada
Forward
15
Clément Nicolas Laurent Lenglet
Defender
16
Nahuel Molina Lucero
Defender
20
Giuliano Simeone
Midfielder
21
Obed Vaargas
Midfielder
23
Nicolás González
Midfielder
24
Robin Le Normand
Defender
FC Barcelona
2
João Pedro Cavaco Cancelo
Defender
4
Ronald Federico Araújo da Silva
Defender
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
Defender
8
Pedro González López
Midfielder
10
Lamine Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
Forward
13
Joan García Pons
Goalkeeper
14
Marcus Rashford
Forward
16
Fermín López Martín
Midfielder
18
Gerard Martín Langreo
Defender
20
Daniel Olmo Carvajal
Midfielder
24
Eric García Martret
Defender
Substitutes
Atlético Madrid
2
3
9
17
Dávid Hancko
Defender
19
Julián Álvarez
Forward
22
Ademola Lookman
Forward
28
31
Salvador Esquivel Gámez
Midfielder
32
Midfielder
34
Julio Diaz Del Romo
Midfielder
40
Aleksa Puric
Midfielder
47
FC Barcelona
3
Alejandro Balde Martínez
Defender
6
7
9
17
Marc Casadó Torras
Midfielder
19
Roony Bardghji
Midfielder
22
23
25
Wojciech Szczęsny
Goalkeeper
33
Eder Aller González
Goalkeeper
42
Xavi Espart Font
Defender
43
Tomás Noël Marqués Morera
Midfielder
Home PPG
2.50
Points per Game
Away PPG
2.07
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.97
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
2.18
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
4.15
Expected Goals
FC Barcelona
Results
31
Matches
31
17
Wins
26
6
Draws
1
8
Losses
4
1.84
Points per Game
2.55
Goals
51
Goals Scored
84
32
Goals Conceded
30
1.65
Avg Goals Scored
2.71
1.03
Avg Goals Conceded
0.97
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
74%
Over 1.5 %
94%
48%
Over 2.5 %
81%
23%
Over 3.5 %
45%
39%
Clean Sheet %
39%
Performance
55.0%
Avg Possession %
69.0%
5.3
Avg Shots on Target
7.3
201
Total Corners
225
6.5
Avg Corners
7.3
68
Total Cards
50
2.2
Avg Cards
1.6
Total Matches
31
Atlético Madrid
Total Matches
31
FC Barcelona
Total Goals
51
Home
Total Goals
84
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
In Madrid, Estadio Wanda Metropolitano hosts a fixture with clean-cut intensity and a ledger that screams goals, corners, and a late-night sprint for a winner.
Outright and risk: Barcelona are marginal favourites to win (2.20). Atletico at home boast a strong 87% win rate, but the book treats this as open: Atletico Win 3.04; Draw 3.70. Double Chance Barcelona Win or Draw 1.36; Atletico Win or Draw 1.29.
Goals and BTTS: Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 fits the fixture’s overs history (62%). BTTS Yes at 1.39, with a 59% average BTTS rate between the teams, makes both nets very plausible.
Expected scoring and pace: Historical combined xG for this pairing sits at 4.15, above the 3.36 average total goals in their meetings, hinting at a lively night and a multi-goal outcome.
Sets and corners: The fixture tends to be corner-heavy; average corners around 15.19. Over 7.5 at 1.15 is a solid anchor, with Over 9.5 at 1.84 and Over 10.5 at 2.00 offering bigger targets if the game opens up.
Defence and pace: Atlético’s clean sheet probability is low (Yes 5.00), while Barcelona’s clean sheet chance is not guaranteed (Yes 3.95). Expect a test for both goalkeepers and at least one defensive slip.
Prediction: a high-activity night, with Barcelona capable of avoiding defeat or clinching it, and both sides contributing on the scoreline. Best bets: Over 2.5 goals plus BTTS Yes; a Barcelona double-chance on the night; monitor corners for a 8–11 range depending on game state.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Atlético Madrid
1
Alexander Sørloth
Forward
10
goals
Top Scorers - FC Barcelona
1
Lamine Yamal
Forward
15
goals
2
Ferrán Torres
Forward
14
goals
3
Robert Lewandowski
Forward
12
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
02/12/2025
17:00
FC Barcelona
3
-
1
Home
⚡ Match Events
22'
Nicolás González
Atlético Madrid
39'
Giuliano Simeone
Assist: Clément Nicolas Laurent Lenglet
Atlético Madrid
42'
Marcus Rashford
Assist: Daniel Olmo Carvajal
FC Barcelona
45'
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
Atlético Madrid
45'
Nahuel Molina Lucero
Atlético Madrid
45'
Nicolás González
Atlético Madrid
45'
Fermín López Martín
FC Barcelona
50'
Juan Agustín Musso
Atlético Madrid
50'
Gerard Martín Langreo
FC Barcelona
53'
Clément Nicolas Laurent Lenglet
Atlético Madrid
87'
Robert Lewandowski
FC Barcelona
90'
Taufik Seidu Zanzi
Atlético Madrid
FC Barcelona
Match Statistics
33
Possession (%)
67
33%
67%
6
Shots
22
21%
79%
2
Shots on Target
8
20%
80%
4
Shots off Target
14
22%
78%
1
Corners
9
10%
90%
15
Fouls
11
58%
42%
6
Yellow Cards
2
75%
25%
1
Red Cards
0
100%
0%
4
Offsides
3
57%
43%
22
Dangerous Attacks
76
22%
78%
55
Attacks
124
31%
69%
Possession
33%
-
67%
Shots on Target
2
-
8
Corners
1
-
9
Total Cards
9
(8 yellows,
1 reds)