Amazonas vs Itabaiana – Serie C Statistics

Match Preview Amazonas vs Itabaiana • 2026 • Jornada 13 Markets at a glance: Amazonas lead the way with win odds of 1.70, a clear favourite by home form and recent numbers. The draw sits around 3.25, while Itabaiana are priced at 4.60. Double chance Amazonas Win or Draw is 1.24, a sensible hedge given home advantage and Itabaiana’s away struggles. What stands out Low-scoring template: Under 4.5 goals is essentially a lock at 1.01, and Under 3.5 is 1.17. The 75% historical tendency to go under 2.5 aligns with this being a tight, disciplined contest. Over 2.5 at 2.32 is the longer shot. Attack vs. defense: Amazonas enjoys a genuine home edge (strong attacking potential and 50% home win rate). Itabaiana’s away form is a concern (17% win rate away, 1.14 xG for, 1.76 xG against). The balance tilts toward the home side. Corners: A mid-to-high scoring on set-pieces is plausible. The market leans toward a higher total of corners (Over 8.5 at 1.32; Over 9.5 at 1.53). Expect roughly 8–11 corners. Head-to-head context: Historically around 2.66 total xG per game in this pairing, with Amazonas’ stronger home influence hinted by overall advantages when playing at home. Key stats in play Amazonas xG for at home: 1.52; Itabaiana away xG for: 1.14 Away form for Itabaiana: Win 17%, Lose 50% — expect pressure on the visitors if they fall behind. Average corners per match between both sides: about 7; expect 8–11 in this one. Prediction & angles Prediction: Amazonas to win, with a cautious 1-0 or 2-1 outcome. The path of least resistance is another tight affair, underscored by the under-4.5 and under-2.5 trends. Best bets (value picks) Amazonas win (1.70) — primary play given home edge and Itabaiana’s away form. Under 2.5 goals (odds around 1.53) — aligns with the historical under-2.5 tendency and the 1st-half/2nd-half scoring patterns. BTTS No (1.60) — with the low-scoring profile, clean sheets for the home side are plausible. Over 8.5 corners (1.32) — expect a multi-shot, busy game on set-pieces. Kick-off: July 06. Stadium details may influence crowd, but the numbers tip a controlled, home-led win with a tight scoreline.