Aldosivi vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto — Estadio José María Minella, 2026, Week 13. Status: incomplete. Market view tilts to the home side, but the numbers tell a careful story. Key figures at a glance Win/Draw double: Aldosivi 1.25 – small cushion for the home team, reflecting the home edge and Estudiantes’ away fragility (100% away losses historically). Match odds: Aldosivi 2.10 | Draw 2.95 | Estudiantes Río Cuarto 3.90. Implied probs roughly 48% / 34% / 26% for a home win, draw, or away win. Goals: Over 0.5 1.10 signals a high likelihood of at least one goal; under 3.5 1.06 points to a low-scoring affair overall. Clean sheets: Aldosivi Yes 2.05; Estudiantes Yes 2.88. Aldosivi’s defense is more trustworthy on home soil. Head-to-head xG: 2.45 total in prior meetings vs. a general match xG of 1.64, suggesting this clash historically yields more chances and goals than average for the fixture—but the market still prices a tight contest. Corners: total market around 8–9 per game is common. Aldosivi to have the most corners in the match at 1.55; Over 7.5 corners 1.38 live in the mix. Aldosivi home trend: home xG for 1.34, against 1.25; overall home edge +12. Estudiantes away trend: 1.09 for, 1.55 against; away losses persist. What to expect Low-scoring, likely closer to 1–0 or 2–0. Under 2.5 goals carries an 87% historical bias; current lines support a compact affair. Aldosivi’s home attack and corner generation give them a plausible edge to clinch the win and push the corners tally toward the 8–9 range. Predictions Result: Aldosivi win (approx 48%), draw (≈34%), Estudiantes Río Cuarto win (≈26%). Scoreline: 1-0 or 2-0 to Aldosivi is the cleanest read. BTTS: No is more likely given overall low scoring and defensive tilt, though BTTS Yes at 2.40 offers a cautious longer shot. Value bets (shortlist) Aldosivi to win Under 2.5 goals Aldosivi clean sheet Over 7.5 corners