15/03/2026
15:15
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
67%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
13%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
29%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
95.0%
Under
6.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
78.0%
Under
22.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
17.0%
Under
84.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
6.0%
Under
95.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
78.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
39.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
7.8
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
61.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
39.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
28.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
5.6
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
5.1
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Gimnasia La Plata
4
Renzo Giampaoli
Defender
7
Manuel Panaro
Forward
8
Ignacio Martín Fernández
Midfielder
10
Nicolas Barros Schelotto
Midfielder
16
Augusto Max
Midfielder
21
Enzo Gabriel Martínez Suárez
Defender
24
Pedro Silva Torrejón
Defender
25
Alexis Steimbach
Midfielder
27
Julián Kadijevic
Goalkeeper
32
Luis Marcelo Torres
Forward
33
Pablo Aguiar
Midfielder
Independiente Rivadavia
2
Leonard Richard Costa Martínez
Defender
5
Tomás Bottari
Midfielder
10
Matías Fernández
Forward
11
Gonzalo Alejandro Ríos
Midfielder
12
Ramiro Jesús Macagno
Goalkeeper
14
Luciano Gómez
Midfielder
22
Sebastián Villa Cano
Forward
25
José Ignacio Florentín Bobadilla
Midfielder
36
Ezequiel Augusto Bonifacio
Defender
42
Sheyko Darko Studer
Midfielder
43
Fabrizio Sartori Prieto
Forward
Substitutes
Gimnasia La Plata
1
Midfielder
2
Gonzalo Gonzalez
Defender
6
Diego Mastrángelo
Midfielder
11
Jeremias Merlo
Midfielder
14
Gonzalo Errecalde
Defender
18
Mateo Seoane
Forward
20
22
26
29
30
Jorge Salustiano de Asís
Midfielder
35
Independiente Rivadavia
3
Juan Manuel Elordi
Defender
8
Leonel Bucca
Midfielder
9
13
15
Nahuel Arena
Defender
17
Bautista Dadín
Forward
19
27
Diego Crego
Midfielder
30
32
Kevin Alejandro Vázquez
Midfielder
34
40
Iván Emilio Villalba Chamorro
Defender
Home PPG
1.40
Points per Game
Away PPG
2.00
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.16
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.69
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
2.85
Expected Goals
Independiente Rivadavia
Results
13
Matches
13
5
Wins
9
2
Draws
2
6
Losses
2
1.31
Points per Game
2.23
Goals
15
Goals Scored
23
19
Goals Conceded
13
1.15
Avg Goals Scored
1.77
1.46
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
77%
Over 1.5 %
85%
62%
Over 2.5 %
54%
23%
Over 3.5 %
23%
15%
Clean Sheet %
23%
Performance
48.0%
Avg Possession %
45.0%
3.9
Avg Shots on Target
5.1
58
Total Corners
50
4.5
Avg Corners
3.8
43
Total Cards
25
3.3
Avg Cards
1.9
Total Matches
13
Gimnasia La Plata
Total Matches
13
Independiente Rivadavia
Total Goals
15
Home
Total Goals
23
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente Rivadavia – Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. A near-even clash where the home side carry a subtle edge, but the road form of Independiente keeps this tight.
Form snapshot: Gimnasia 1.56 pre-match points per game, Independiente 1.89. Indirectly suggests Independiente’s momentum on the road is trustworthy.
Expected goals: combined xG before this match sits at 2.85, above the long-run average 2.50. Gimnasia at home xG 1.16; Independiente away xG 1.26 — both capable of contributing.
Home advantage: Gimnasia win rate at home around 50%, with measurable home attack and defensive gaps (home advantage net +21). Still, Independiente’s away numbers keep this balanced.
Goal timing and scoring: Over 0.5 goals in the first half is highly probable in general (84% first-half over 0.5), while first-half BTTS average remains modest (13%). Overall, expect at least a goal or two, with a real chance both sides score.
Markets to watch:
- BTTS Yes 2.05; BTTS No 1.69. With 67% BTTS average, Yes is a reasonable call.
- Over 1.5 goals 1.46; Over 2.5 goals 2.53. Likely to clear 1.5, with a fair shot at 2+.
- Corners around a mid-range contest: Over 7.5 corners 1.38, Over 8.5 1.66. Expect roughly 7–9 corners total.
- Double Chance: Gimnasia win or draw 1.38; Independiente win or draw 1.41. Given home edge but Independiente’s away form, both sides have a viable safety play.
Clean sheets: Gimnasia Yes 2.70; Independiente Yes 2.70. Neither defense is overwhelming; risk of goals remains in play.
Prediction: a tight, goal-hungry affair with a slight home tilt. A sensible betting angle is BTTS Yes and Over 2.5. If you want cover, a small stake on Gimnasia W/D (1X) is reasonable given the home advantage.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Gimnasia La Plata
1
Luis Marcelo Torres
Forward
4
goals
Top Scorers - Independiente Rivadavia
1
Fabrizio Sartori Prieto
Forward
5
goals
2
Alejo Osella
Defender
4
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
04/10/2026
16:00
Independiente Rivadavia
16:00
⚡ Match Events
2'
Enzo Gabriel Martínez Suárez
Assist: Nicolas Barros Schelotto
Gimnasia La Plata
25'
Fabrizio Sartori Prieto
Assist: Sebastián Villa Cano
Independiente Rivadavia
28'
Luis Marcelo Torres
Assist: Ignacio Martín Fernández
Gimnasia La Plata
33'
Augusto Max
Gimnasia La Plata
36'
Enzo Gabriel Martínez Suárez
Gimnasia La Plata
39'
José Ignacio Florentín Bobadilla
Assist: Ezequiel Augusto Bonifacio
Independiente Rivadavia
45'
Ignacio Martín Fernández
Gimnasia La Plata
50'
Renzo Giampaoli
Gimnasia La Plata
54'
Luciano Gómez
Independiente Rivadavia
63'
Alexis Steimbach
Gimnasia La Plata
64'
Ezequiel Augusto Bonifacio
Independiente Rivadavia
90'
Enzo Gabriel Martínez Suárez
Gimnasia La Plata
Independiente Rivadavia
Match Statistics
48
Possession (%)
52
48%
52%
9
Shots
13
41%
59%
3
Shots on Target
3
50%
50%
6
Shots off Target
10
38%
63%
4
Corners
2
67%
33%
11
Fouls
10
52%
48%
5
Yellow Cards
2
71%
29%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
1
Offsides
0
100%
0%
41
Dangerous Attacks
43
49%
51%
67
Attacks
89
43%
57%
Possession
48%
-
52%
Shots on Target
3
-
3
Corners
4
-
2
Total Cards
7
(7 yellows,
0 reds)