Trabzonspor v İstanbul Başakşehir, Gameweek 30 of the 2025/26 season. Status: incomplete. The ground usually favours the hosts, and the numbers back that up, with Trabzonspor boasting a solid home record and a noticeable goal threat. What to watch Home edge: Trabzonspor win rate at home 64%; xG for at home 1.84; strong defensive footprint at home (home advantage +7). Away basics: Başakşehir away win rate 50%; xG for away 1.52; away conceded xG around 1.32, so expect a competitive match on the road. Goal expectations: Head-to-head xG average per game between the teams is 3.36, higher than the general head-to-head goal benchmark of 2.65. This hints at a busier affair than typical for this fixture. Markets that jump out BTTS Yes 1.57; BTTS No 2.30. With an overall BTTS history around 54%, both teams scoring is a credible angle. Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals 1.60 (market reflects a mid-to-high scoring encounter); Over 1.5 goals 1.17; Over 0.5 goals 1.03. The trend suggests at least two goals is very likely. Corners: Average ~10 corners per match here. Over 7.5 corners 1.25; Over 9.5 2.10; Over 10.5 2.39. Expect a busy game for set pieces. Other contextual angles First half dynamics: 1st half BTTS historically around 15%, but 68% chance of at least a goal in the first half and 86% for a second-half goal, so openings often arrive after the break. Clean sheets: Trabzonspor clean sheets Yes 3.35 vs No 1.28; Başakşehir clean sheets Yes 5.00 vs No 1.13 — suggests both teams are not especially fragile, but the home side carries the edge to keep a clean sheet more reliably than Başakşehir. Predictions Result sense: Trabzonspor on home soil is favoured; a narrow win is plausible given the home/away gradients. Scoreline guess: 2-1 to Trabzonspor. BTTS: Likely yes. Goal total: Over 2.5 targets; expect 2–3 goals in the match. Corner trend: expect a high-corner game; overs at 9.5 or more look reasonable.