18/03/2026
15:30
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
62%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
28%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
22%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
84.0%
Under
17.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
62.0%
Under
39.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
33.0%
Under
67.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
22.0%
Under
78.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
89.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
62.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
7.2
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
45.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
22.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
22.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
4.8
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
2.7
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Al Gharafa
1
Khalifa Ababacar N'Diaye
Goalkeeper
6
Dame Traoré
Defender
7
Florinel Teodor Coman
Forward
8
Yacine Brahimi
Forward
9
José Luis Sanmartín Mato
Forward
11
Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag
Midfielder
13
Ferjani Sassi
Midfielder
18
Ayoub Al Oui
Defender
24
Aron Einar Gunnarsson
Midfielder
26
Rayyan Ahmed Al Ali
Forward
57
Yousef Moussa Al Khlif
Midfielder
Al Ahli
3
Islam Yassine Al Sharif
Defender
4
Talal Ali Al shila
Defender
5
William Troost-Ekong
Defender
7
Julian Draxler
Midfielder
8
Driss Fettouhi
Midfielder
9
Sekou Oumar Yansane
Forward
14
Michel Vlap
Midfielder
16
Robin Tihi
Defender
23
Khalid Radwan Hasan
Defender
35
Marwan Sherif Badreldin
Goalkeeper
41
Ahmed Reyed Mawla
Midfielder
Substitutes
Al Gharafa
5
Mostafa Essam Qadeera
Midfielder
12
Mathias Antonsen Normann
Midfielder
14
16
Jamil Friarkh
Midfielder
21
Hamad Kahiout
Goalkeeper
22
Andrea Agos Sdr Mento
Forward
33
Chalpan Abdulnasir
Forward
34
Mahmood Gamal Mohamed
Goalkeeper
55
Nawaf Hussein Al Rayami
Midfielder
90
97
Amjad Mohamed
Midfielder
99
Al Ahli
1
Yazan Naim Hussein
Goalkeeper
6
11
Abdelrahman Mohamed Moustafa
Midfielder
12
17
Othman Alawi Al Yahri
Midfielder
20
21
Mohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq
Goalkeeper
24
Amidou Doumbouya
Midfielder
29
Suhaib Gannan
Midfielder
33
Khalid Mohammed
Midfielder
70
88
Home PPG
2.10
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.20
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.69
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.20
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
2.89
Expected Goals
Al Ahli
Results
21
Matches
21
11
Wins
7
2
Draws
2
8
Losses
12
1.67
Points per Game
1.10
Goals
35
Goals Scored
31
35
Goals Conceded
42
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.48
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
81%
Over 1.5 %
95%
67%
Over 2.5 %
71%
48%
Over 3.5 %
38%
14%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
49.0%
Avg Possession %
52.0%
4.6
Avg Shots on Target
4.1
95
Total Corners
87
4.5
Avg Corners
4.1
62
Total Cards
47
3.0
Avg Cards
2.2
Total Matches
21
Al Gharafa
Total Matches
21
Al Ahli
Total Goals
35
Home
Total Goals
31
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli • 2025/2026, Week 19 • March 19
Home soil weighs heavy in this one. Al Gharafa enter as the clearer favourites, armed with a potent home record and a higher xG footprint than their visitors when away. The data points to a match that should have goals, with both sides capable of trouble in the final third.
Home edge: Al Gharafa win rate at home 78% – a solid cushion for backers.
Away form: Al Ahli win rate away 33% (loss 67%), typical of teams travelling to this ground.
xG profile: Al Gharafa 1.69 at home; Al Ahli away 1.20. Combined expected xG for the fixture around 2.89, just below their head-to-head average of 3.06.
BTTS: 62% historically, so both teams scoring is a credible angle.
Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals around 62% historically for this matchup; the fixture sits near that level given the xG mix.
First/Second halves: First-half Over 0.5 goals at 73% suggest early pressure; Second half Over 0.5 at 89% hints at late goals or a swing after halftime.
Set-piece rhythm: Corners average 7.22 per match, implying a lively, contested affair at dead balls.
Predictions & betting angles
Result likely: Al Gharafa win (odds 1.85). Home dominance and stronger pre-match points per game support this edge.
Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.44). Historically favored and supported by the xG profile.
BTTS: Yes (typical 62%): both teams contributing are plausible given the attacking metrics.
Alternative note: If aiming for a tighter play, consider Al Gharafa to win with Over 2.5 goals as a combined bet for a balanced risk-reward.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Al Gharafa
1
Yacine Brahimi
Forward
7
goals
2
Joselu
Forward
6
goals
Top Scorers - Al Ahli
1
Michel Vlap
Midfielder
8
goals
2
Julian Draxler
Midfielder
6
goals
3
Sekou Oumar Yansane
Forward
6
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
25/10/2025
11:30
Al Ahli
1
-
3
Away
⚡ Match Events
28'
Yacine Brahimi
Al Gharafa
37'
Aron Einar Gunnarsson
Al Gharafa
45'
Driss Fettouhi
Al Ahli
46'
Younis Hussein Abdelrahman
Assist: Sekou Oumar Yansane
Al Ahli
59'
William Troost-Ekong
Assist: Michel Vlap
Al Ahli
69'
Talal Ali Al shila
Al Ahli
77'
Michel Vlap
Al Ahli
87'
Michel Vlap
Al Ahli
90'
Younis Hussein Abdelrahman
Assist: Driss Fettouhi
Al Ahli
Al Ahli
Match Statistics
54
Possession (%)
46
54%
46%
9
Shots
14
39%
61%
5
Shots on Target
5
50%
50%
4
Shots off Target
9
31%
69%
3
Corners
4
43%
57%
11
Fouls
12
48%
52%
1
Yellow Cards
3
25%
75%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
1
Offsides
3
25%
75%
37
Dangerous Attacks
37
50%
50%
71
Attacks
63
53%
47%
Possession
54%
-
46%
Shots on Target
5
-
5
Corners
3
-
4
Total Cards
4
(4 yellows,
0 reds)