01/04/2026
21:00
Estádio Moisés Lucarelli
Home PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Away PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Ceará
Results
3
Matches
3
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
2
2
Losses
0
0.33
Points per Game
1.67
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
67%
Over 1.5 %
100%
33%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0%
Over 3.5 %
0%
0%
Clean Sheet %
33%
Performance
49.0%
Avg Possession %
43.0%
4.0
Avg Shots on Target
4.0
10
Total Corners
15
3.3
Avg Corners
5.0
9
Total Cards
8
3.0
Avg Cards
2.7
Total Matches
3
Ponte Preta
Total Matches
3
Ceará
Total Goals
2
Home
Total Goals
4
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Estádio Moisés Lucarelli hosts Ponte Preta vs Ceará in a 2026 Week 2 clash. Ceará are priced as the slight favourites (2.08) with Ponte Preta at 3.81 and a draw at 3.05. The match opens up questions about away efficiency translating into points on the road.
Ponte Preta (home): xG for 0.98, xG against 1.29 — a modest attacking profile but leaky at the back. Home win rate stands at 20%, while overall home advantage in attack is cited as 60 (defence 14, overall 37). Expect pressure but risk of concession remains.
Ceará (away): xG for 1.44, xG against 1.10 — stronger going forward away from home, and an away win rate of 40% suggests they travel with intent.
Odds snapshot: Ceará win 2.08, Ponte Preta win 3.81, draw 3.05. Double Chance Ponte Preta W/D 1.33; Ceará W/D 1.24 — safer routes lean toward Ceará not losing.
Goals and bets: Over/Under 2.5 goals at 2.42 / 1.53 respectively. BTTS Yes 2.06, BTTS No 1.68 — both teams have scoring potential and defensive opens are plausible.
Corners: market leans toward fewer than expected. Over 7.5 corners at 1.23; under 7.5 at 3.60. Individual team corner notes: Ponte Preta often tops the corner count in this match at 2.05, Ceará at 2.20, with both teams sharing the total around modest levels.
Prediction: Ceará to press and scalp a result on the road, but Ponte Preta’s home resilience keeps this tight. The value pick is Ceará W/D (1.24) for a safer bet; a straight Ceará win is priced at 2.08 and carries more risk. Expect a low-to-mid scoring affair with BTTS likely and a handful of corners, but not a high-volume night for set-piece stats.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Ponte Preta
No data available
Top Scorers - Ceará
1
Juan Matheus Alano Nascimento
Midfielder
2
goals
2
Vinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo
Midfielder
1
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
06/08/2026
21:00
Ceará
21:00
Ceará
Match Statistics
59
Possession (%)
41
59%
41%
9
Shots
14
39%
61%
5
Shots on Target
4
56%
44%
4
Shots off Target
10
29%
71%
4
Corners
6
40%
60%
20
Fouls
13
61%
39%
2
Yellow Cards
2
50%
50%
0
Red Cards
1
0%
100%
0
Offsides
1
0%
100%
47
Dangerous Attacks
48
49%
51%
85
Attacks
83
51%
49%
Possession
59%
-
41%
Shots on Target
5
-
4
Corners
4
-
6
Total Cards
5
(4 yellows,
1 reds)