Olympiakos Piraeus vs Larissa, 2025/2026, Week 26. Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki. Market signals a home win with a tight scoreline and plenty of corners, a pattern this fixture often follows. Odds snapshot: Olympiakos Win 1.13 | Draw 7.50 | Larissa 16.50 • Double Chance (Olympiakos U/D) 1.11 Goals lines: Over 0.5 1.04 • Over 1.5 1.20 • Over 2.5 1.65 • Over 3.5 2.70 • Under 4.5 1.15 BTTS: Yes 2.45 • No 1.44 Corners: Over 7.5 1.42 • Over 8.5 1.72 • Over 9.5 2.57 • Under 7.5 2.65 Context & trends At home, Olympiakos typically dominate: 75% win rate, xG for 2.32 vs xG against 0.65. They also tend to start strong, with a historic tendency to inch ahead in the first half. Larissa away record shows fragility: 17% win rate, xG for 1.17, xG against 1.65. That mismatch points to a structured game plan for Olympiakos to control midfield and limit transitions. Historically, total match xG between these sides sits around 3.49, and the overall average goals per fixture between them is 2.38. This leans toward a contained win rather than a shootout. Bookmakers lean heavily toward Olympiakos, with a low win price and a high probability of a clean sheet given Larissa’s away profile. Statistical notes worth watching First-half BTTS is exceptionally low in this dataset: average around 4%. Expect a cautious opening and limited early goals. Over 4.5 goals is a rare event (average 9%), reinforcing the idea of a controlled, defensively solid affair. Average corners per match is around 12; the market signals a mid-to-high corridor with risks and opportunities on set-pieces. Over 7.5 corners at 1.42 looks reasonable. Prediction & bets (succinct) Primary pick: Olympiakos Piraeus to win. Strong home form and XG profile support a victory with a low-scoring frame. Recommended under/over: Under 3.5 goals (1.40) aligns with the historical tightness and the 4.5-goal ceiling in this fixture. BTTS: BTTS No (1.44) is plausible given Larissa’s away struggles and Olympiakos’ defensive strength. Corners: Over 7.5 corners (1.42) is a sensible angle, with both teams capable of contributing to a double-digit corner tally in many similar ties.